Weather

  • The state of the atmosphere at a particular place and time

  • A complex system with many interacting components (temperature, atmospheric pressure, cloud formation, wind, humidity, rain and human activity)

  • A dynamic system that operates across multiple time and spatial scales (minutes to centuries and local to global) 

  • Components and scales are interconnected and interact dynamically creating constantly shifting conditions

  • Interactions can cause an increase or amplification of conditions (positive feedback loop) or a decrease or dampening of conditions (negative feedback loop)

  • Interactions are nonlinear, response to change is not typically gradual, sudden shifts occur

  • A small event can trigger a chain reaction, affecting conditions in another place at a later time, in ways that are hard to predict

  • Minor changes can lead to major unexpected outcomes

  • Local events can influence global patterns and short-term fluctuations can have long-term consequences

  • Large complex events emerge from the interactions between simpler small-scale phenomena (wind, temperature, moisture), and at the same time large complex events can influence small-scale processes

  • Events emerge naturally. Components self-organise across varying scales, without centralised control

  • Emergent behaviour cannot be predicted by looking at the individual components alone

  • Hindsight does not lead to foresight because external conditions and systems constantly change

  • Broad trends and patterns can be predicted (seasonal trends), but smaller-scale events are chaotic and more sensitive to minor changes (path of a hurricane)

  • What has happened before affects what happens now as parts evolve together and with the environment irreversibly. An adaptive system.

  • An unordered system. Not constrained by the system (ordered system), nor entirely unconstrained (chaotic system). Constraints emerge from within